Marc Molinaro leads the race for the place at Antonio Delgado’s house

Governor Kathy Hochul’s decision to entrust Antonio Delgado with the role of deputy lieutenant governor could cost Democrats a seat in the House, according to a new poll.

Republican Marc Molinaro is the favorite to capture the seat in Congress vacated by Democrat Delgado, according to the Triton Polling & Research for Freedom Council USA poll released Tuesday.

Molinaro, the current Dutchess County executive and 2018 GOP candidate for governor, leads Ulster County Democratic executive Pat Ryan from 51.6 percent to 38.4 percent, according to the survey.

The automated telephone poll polled 505 voters from June 16-20 and has a margin of error of 4.4 percentage points.

Hochul needed to replace her top pick for number 2, Brian Benjamin, after being indicted on federal bribery charges, which had been alluded to before she picked him.

The special election will be held on August 23 along the current lines for the 19th congressional district.

The current 19th CD encompasses much of the Hudson Valley, including Dutchess, Ulster and Columbia counties and parts of the Catskills.

But the winner will have to run according to the court-ordered district reorganization lines for the 19th congressional district in the fall. The judges dismissed the House maps previously drawn by the Democrats as unconstitutional manipulations, which Republican critics called “Hochulmander” because Governor Kathy Hochul approved them.

Republican Marc Molinaro leads the race for the vacant seat in the House of Lieutenant Governor Antonio Delgado, says a poll.
Marc Molinaro NY / Facebook

However, Democrats face potential embarrassment if they lose Delgado’s seat.

The rush could also be a wake-up call of what will happen in the fall as Democrats prepare to defend their meager majority in the US House, reinforcing perception along the way that Delgado has not sought re-election due to concerns. who couldn’t resist the purple seat.

“We don’t take strategic cues from a polling firm we’ve never heard of, it’s funded by far-right Republicans and it’s focused on electing our opponent,” Ryan spokesman Chris Walsh said in a statement.

A representative of Triton Polling & Research could not be reached for comment by the time of publication.

The poll showed Molinaro with higher name recognition than Ryan, with more voters having an unfavorable and unfavorable opinion of him and fewer undecided.

Ryan and Molinaro are both running for two elections this year.

The first is the special election for the time remaining in Delgado’s term as they run in separate districts for full term in Congress this November.

Molinaro is vying for a new version of the 19th while Ryan is competing for his newly drawn 18th district to the south against another Republican candidate.

Lieutenant Governor Antonio Delgado
Antonio Delgado was appointed lieutenant governor by governor Kathy Hochul.
Lev Radin / Pacific Press / Shutterstock

“The approach I take is seen everywhere. This is what we did. This is what we will continue to do. And in a few weeks we were all over the place, “Ryan told the Post on June 16.

But a Post review of recent campaign events suggests Molinaro has an advantage over Ryan when it comes to reaching voters in the current version of the distant 19th District.

The Republican held at least 31 public events in both of his races between May 23 and June 18, according to records.

Ryan, on the other hand, appears to have attended at least 16 public events over the same period.

Most of Ryan’s appearance was in the overlapping areas between the current 19th district and the future 18th district in the Hudson Valley.

Molinaro has also garnered votes in voter-rich places like Rensselaer County, where Ryan has not yet made official campaign appearances, according to records.

Ryan told the Post that his time as a local government official and the failed 2018 campaign against Delgado will help him reach areas of the district he has yet to visit during the ongoing campaign.

Kathy Hochul
Hochul named Delgado after former LG Brian Benjamin was indicted on federal corruption charges.
Robert Miller

“My relationships in this district are long-standing and deep and if there is a city I haven’t been to yet, in a few weeks, I will definitely get to as many cities as possible – certainly every county – as the campaign continues,” he said. said Ryan.

A member of the New York Democratic Party has suggested that the West Point graduate could use his special election bid to help raise money to win an entire term in the newly drawn 18th District.

“It is the worst kept secret in New York that Pat Ryan is organizing special elections and passing the race to Molinaro,” the source said.

But Ryan told the Post he is racing to win the election in both boroughs.

“The fact that there are two different campaigns is just a kind of means to stand up to fight for my community to fight for our country. And that’s how I talked to everyone about it, “she said in an interview.