To those who don’t want to see the US president running for reelection, Joe Biden has a message: “Watch me.”
The self-confident Biden, who rises above the history-defying Democrats’ performance in this year’s midterm elections, said at a post-election news conference that he intended to seek another term, but in the end it was a “family decision.”
“I think everyone wants me to run, but we’re going to have discussions about that,” Biden told reporters, noting that he will sit down with his family over the holidays and announce his decision “early next year.”
It will take a full calculation of the election results several more days, or perhaps weeks, to see that key states continue to count, and the Georgia Senate race heads into a run-off that could determine control of the chamber.
Although Republicans have the advantage in a district-by-district battle for the House of Representatives, Biden and his party have been able to avoid the “giant red wave” that many Democrats have prepared for in a political environment shaped by widespread economic discontent and the president’s low approval. evaluations. Control of the Senate also remains within the Democrats’ hands.
Despite an unexpectedly strong performance for Biden, who is approaching his 80th birthday this month, he still faces strong headwinds in 2024. Two-thirds of midterm voters said they did not want to see Biden seek re-election in 2024, according to a poll Voters conducted by Edison. Search. The poll showed that includes more than 40% of Democrats and 90% of Republicans.
But Tuesday’s surprising and mixed results could bolster Biden’s case for seeking re-election and perhaps even allay fears among those in his party who hope the party will elect another carrier in 2024.
“Our intention is to run again,” Biden said. This was our intention regardless of the outcome of this election.
In the months leading up to the election, weak Democrats are filled with questions about whether they will support Biden in 2024. Democratic leaders have mostly sidestepped questions about whether he should run again.
For now, the Democrats’ successes have shifted attention to Donald Trump, who had hoped the Republican wave of victories would prompt the launch of his third presidential bid, expected as soon as next week.
But several of Trump’s select candidates lost Tuesday night, among them the famous doctor Mehmet Oz, who lost the race in the Pennsylvania Senate to John Fetterman. The disappointing results have raised questions about the former president’s political strength, with some openly warning that he is a burden on the party.
Meanwhile, Trump’s main Republican challenger, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, scrambled for re-election on Tuesday. After DeSantis’ strong performance on Tuesday, in which he expanded his support among Hispanic voters and made the increasingly Republican state redder, many conservatives are already pushing him as a promising alternative to Trump. The conservative New York Post named DeSantis as “DeFuture.”
Biden welcomed the Republican competition. “It will be fun to watch them take each other,” he said.
Even before the president made a decision, his team began laying the groundwork for a potential campaign.
“We are engaged in some planning for the simple reason that if we are not involved in planning in November of this year, we should be in the Political Malpractice Hall of Fame,” Anita Dunn, a senior White House adviser, said during the Axios event. last week.
Biden’s approval rating stands at 43% among registered voters, according to a Washington Post-ABC poll conducted before Election Day. But he remains popular with Democrats, with eight in ten giving him positive ratings compared to nine in ten Republicans who disapprove of his job performance. Just under four in 10 independent voters say they approve of his performance.
There appears to be little appetite among elected Democrats to challenge Biden in the primaries. Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders, a prominent progressive, has ruled out running against Biden.
If Biden chooses not to run, it is unclear who will apply for the nomination.
As Vice President, Kamala Harris is seen as an apparently heiress, and likely the frontrunner. Harris, who campaigned across the country for Democrats in this cycle, has been credited with bringing to light the issue of abortion and reproductive rights, which have proven crucial to the major races. But she, like Biden, also suffers from low approval rates.
Other Democrats have drawn speculation of 2024. Minnesota Senator Amy Klobuchar and Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg, both running in 2020, have traveled to several states in this Democrats’ campaign cycle.
California Governor Gavin Newsom, who handily won re-election Tuesday a year after defeating an impeachment bid, has sought to build a national image by publicly challenging DeSantis. Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer, who is storming for re-election in a coastal state, is seen as a rising star.
David Shore, a prominent Democratic data analyst, said the midterm results underscored the strength of the incumbent, with many at-risk party members retaining their seats despite the challenging political environment. He said rallying behind the incumbent also avoids messy primaries.
Shore said in an interview with The Guardian’s Politics Weekly America.
But Schorr said the biggest variable could be the economy.
The traditional pattern of American politics has been that there is a really strong relationship between economic conditions and presidential approval. It was true for Clinton, it was true for Bush, but it is no longer true for Barack Obama and Donald Trump. But he said, “Joe Biden is back.” “And so I think in the end, the 2024 question is really what the economy will end up with.”